Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000132 0.000147 0.000162 0.000180 0.000201 0.000222 0.000248
2025-10-19 0.000110 0.000130 0.000152 0.000180 0.000212 0.000249 0.000296
2025-10-26 0.000094 0.000116 0.000143 0.000178 0.000222 0.000274 0.000343
2025-11-02 0.000082 0.000106 0.000136 0.000177 0.000230 0.000298 0.000391
2025-11-09 0.000072 0.000098 0.000131 0.000177 0.000239 0.000322 0.000441
2025-11-16 0.000064 0.000090 0.000124 0.000174 0.000245 0.000342 0.000486
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000084 0.000120 0.000174 0.000252 0.000364 0.000537
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000079 0.000117 0.000174 0.000261 0.000389 0.000591
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000074 0.000112 0.000172 0.000266 0.000407 0.000640
2025-12-14 0.000046 0.000072 0.000111 0.000174 0.000277 0.000435 0.000704
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000068 0.000108 0.000175 0.000285 0.000460 0.000764
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000065 0.000105 0.000174 0.000289 0.000479 0.000817
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000063 0.000104 0.000177 0.000303 0.000514 0.000901
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000060 0.000102 0.000177 0.000311 0.000541 0.000975
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000177 0.000317 0.000565 0.001045
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000055 0.000097 0.000176 0.000323 0.000589 0.001116
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000176 0.000330 0.000616 0.001196
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000050 0.000092 0.000174 0.000333 0.000635 0.001262
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000048 0.000089 0.000173 0.000339 0.000660 0.001342
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000046 0.000088 0.000173 0.000347 0.000689 0.001433
2026-03-01 0.000022 0.000044 0.000085 0.000172 0.000350 0.000710 0.001508
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000043 0.000085 0.000174 0.000361 0.000747 0.001621
2026-03-15 0.000020 0.000042 0.000084 0.000174 0.000369 0.000778 0.001724